Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002389 0.002531 0.002681 0.002855 0.003051 0.003266 0.003523
2025-03-23 0.002204 0.002402 0.002625 0.002899 0.003231 0.003628 0.004151
2025-03-30 0.002038 0.002264 0.002529 0.002870 0.003306 0.003864 0.004667
2025-04-06 0.001889 0.002126 0.002412 0.002791 0.003297 0.003981 0.005040
2025-04-13 0.001788 0.002036 0.002340 0.002755 0.003333 0.004153 0.005523
2025-04-20 0.001657 0.001896 0.002195 0.002608 0.003193 0.004048 0.005539
2025-04-27 0.001601 0.001848 0.002161 0.002605 0.003254 0.004248 0.006111
2025-05-04 0.001577 0.001839 0.002177 0.002670 0.003419 0.004633 0.007153
2025-05-11 0.001533 0.001800 0.002149 0.002668 0.003480 0.004856 0.007958
2025-05-18 0.001520 0.001800 0.002175 0.002745 0.003673 0.005351 0.009661
2025-05-25 0.001478 0.001759 0.002139 0.002726 0.003706 0.005546 0.010717
2025-06-01 0.001428 0.001705 0.002082 0.002671 0.003668 0.005593 0.011361
2025-06-08 0.001410 0.001695 0.002090 0.002722 0.003832 0.006125 0.014310
2025-06-15 0.001387 0.001680 0.002089 0.002759 0.003977 0.006667 0.018445
2025-06-22 0.001349 0.001640 0.002050 0.002730 0.003995 0.006909 0.021775
2025-06-29 0.001302 0.001585 0.001988 0.002658 0.003918 0.006885 0.023384
2025-07-06 0.001268 0.001549 0.001950 0.002626 0.003917 0.007074 0.027658
2025-07-13 0.001210 0.001476 0.001855 0.002490 0.003695 0.006590 0.024104
2025-07-20 0.001189 0.001456 0.001838 0.002488 0.003746 0.006912 0.030733
2025-07-27 0.001184 0.001458 0.001857 0.002547 0.003934 0.007722 0.056319
2025-08-03 0.001165 0.001439 0.001841 0.002545 0.003991 0.008138 0.096723
2025-08-10 0.001163 0.001446 0.001865 0.002616 0.004221 0.009313 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001142 0.001423 0.001842 0.002599 0.004243 0.009696 NaN